Thursday 13 January 2011

Will Departure to Thailand Happen?

I'm starting to get worried now. Looking at the forecast for this week, they are predicting the coldest arctic blast of the year, followed by moisture to enter. It could be a repeat of the snow disaster that happened 3 years ago which grounded flights, stopped trains, and caused a Spring Festival catastrophe. Here's what they are saying. Time will tell what actually happens.

As anyone would know, Spring Festival is the worst time to be traveling in China. When inclement weather combines with that, you have a travel nightmare of epic proportions. Yet for some of us with fixed holiday schedules, there's really not a heck of lot to do about it. All we can do is watch the weather forecast like a hawk and hope like heck the airplanes won't be affected.


Today: Cloudy with a shower. High = 6. Low = 0
Sat: Sunny and chilly. High = 3 Low = -8
Sun: Sunny and chilly. High = 2 Low = -7
Mon: Sunny and chilly. High = 3 Low = -2
Tues: Freezing rain!!! High = 2 Low = -1 <---- This would be a major cause for concern
Wed: Rain and drizzle High = 4 Low = -2
Thurs: Cold with snow High = 1 Low = -2 <---- Another cause for concern


As you can see from the above, the first cold blast is practically guaranteed, and it will bring dry and frigid air like we've been having all of January so far. The moisture entering into this airmass doesn't happen until well into next week, so there is a margin for error --- this is what I'm counting on.

Since we haven't had precipitation for almost a month, the chances or getting saddled with a rainstorm, snowstorm, ice storm, or a bout of freezing rain are in fact actually quite high. It's just a question of what kind of precicipation happens midweek, and I'm hoping for one of the following outcomes:

1. The cold comes earlier, then starts to warm up earlier.
2. The moisture comes with a warmer air mass to raise temperature high enough to make it a rainstorm only
3. If it's an ice storm, it comes earlier that way I can cancel my flight and make alternatives to get south
4. The cold air mass is strong enough to keep away the moisture until after my flight leaves

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